Back in 1990 Saddam invaded Kuwait for its oil and to use as his launching off point to go into Saudi Arabia and other oil producing states. His motives were clear. The fact he was not deterred was he was convinced that the United States would not interfere. When he found out otherwise he knew he had stepped into deep stuff. There was never any doubt in his mind that he could not win the looming armed conflict. His choice was he could lose diplomatically and politically by withdrawing or lose militarily by fighting. Since staying in power and gaining political stature was his personal highest priority he chose to go to war. As events unfolded at the UN he knew that he was practically guaranteed staying in power if he fought instead of giving in. He stayed in power because the U.S. went before the UN and agreed to prosecute and wage war within the guidelines or mandates set forth by the UN. Specifically, we could only wage war to drive the Iraqis out of Kuwait. We could not invade Iraq or wage war directly against Iraq the nationonly its troops used to support the occupation of Kuwait. It was solely because of the UN mandates that we did not take steps to remove Saddam from power or to conquer Iraq. A point that that many at GA fail to menton when alleging that it was Bush's fault. Not surprisingly these are often the same people who when crying how we should respect the UN and go to them for everything are also the ones who overlook that it is the UNs fault, not Bush's fault that Saddam is still in power. So Saddam lost the battle but won the war. He stayed in power and gained the respect of much of the Arab and Muslim world at the man-in-the street level. This is quite different than the government leaders of the countries where those people live. It is because of the this apparent contradiction that we get mixed signals from Arab leaders in our dispute or gripes with Iraq. Most of the leaders want Saddam out. But most of their peoples do not or and would be very unhappy with us attacking Iraq. So the Arab leader walk a fine line. If you want to stay in power or stay alive you don't want to piss off too many people over there. Just ask the relatives of Anwar Sadat or the Shah of Iran. In the upcoming war<i> the main goal and first priority is very simplea regime change in Iraq. That strategy will dictate our tactics. </i> Our reasons for wanting Saddam out are to create some stability in that area of the world including the issue of oil, preventing terrorist receiving support and weapons from Iraq, and to send a message to the governments of the world that if you support terrorists who are going to attack us we will punish you big time. The single most important thing we can do in the long-term fight against terrorism is to make sure that they are as self-dependent as possible and not be given haven, support, and weapons by governments. Once Saddam sees confirmation of what he already knows, that he is going to lose again, the man will leave to some friendly nation along with his family and loot. All that will prevent his leaving is if he is killed before doing so. That is a definite possibility as any fool can pull a trigger, but the chances of him leaving are greater than his being killed. The only thing that we have not done so far and that we should do before the war starts is for our government to present to the American people the proof of their claims about Iraqs weapons. In the alternative we should release the information simultaneously with our initial attack. It is my belief that President Bush will do one or the other at the appropriate time. As for their weapons I dont need or care to hear what the inspectors have to say or what they find or dont find. I know that Iraq has chemical and biological weapons but probably does not have nuclearalthough they deeply covet having them and would if they could. If we dont step in they eventually will if they do not already. All of the weapons that they have now will eventually be made available to terrorists under the Saddam regime. The current weapons inspection program is just a political shell game and a necessary formality needed to remove official obstacles to war. As for the war, look for it to begin most likely about February. The timing of the start will be determined in part politically but also by the type of war we choose to implement.