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Arc
12-21-2004, 02:26 AM
Richard Sander is a Professor of Law at UCLA’s Law School. In this month’s Stanford Law Review his “A Systemic Analysis of Affirmative Action in American Law Schools” is ruffling some of the usual suspects feathers.

Sander’s says:

Affirmative action sets up many black law students for failure because it places them in schools where they cannot compete academically, according to a study by a UCLA law professor who says ending racial preferences at law schools would likely increase the number of African-American lawyers.

…black students who get preferential treatment enter law school with much weaker grades and Law School Admission Test scores — the best predictors of law school success — than white students. This “mismatch” leads to black students dropping out at greater rates than whites and having more trouble passing the bar exam.

Blacks are the victims of law school programs of affirmative action, not the beneficiaries…” The number of lawyers produced by American law schools each year and subsequently passing the bar would probably increase if those schools collectively stopped using racial preferences.”

Reaction and rebuttal to his study from the MSA, (mainstream academia), was predictable both in its content and swiftness. Some of the criticism of Sander’s conclusions came from professors Lempart, Clydesdale and Kidder. (No kidding!)

Although they did not disagree about the poorer performance of blacks compared to whites, they said that factors other than grades contributed to the gap. “Something about the atmosphere of law school exacerbates the entering educational gaps of minority and other atypical law students...”

The authors described Sander’s forecasts as “irresponsible” and said the document was based on “a series of statistical errors, oversights and implausible...assumptions.”

Sander's reply:

“Once some honest conversation about affirmative action practices is underway, it will be much easier to talk about constructive solutions.”

Some of Sander’s findings:

After the first year of law school, 51 percent of black students are in the bottom tenth of their classes compared with 5 percent of white students. About two-thirds of black students are in the bottom fifth of their classes. Without racial preferences, 14 percent fewer black students would be admitted to law schools, but those admitted would be more successful.

About 19 percent of blacks and 8 percent of whites drop out of law school. If preferences had been abolished, the number of black attorneys emerging from the Class of 2004 would have been 8 percent higher.

Blacks are nearly six times as likely as whites to fail the bar exam on multiple tries. Without racial preferences, the number of black students who would pass the bar exam on the first try would likely increase by 22 percent.

Of all students who started law school in 1991, 48 percent of blacks and 78 percent of whites graduated, took the bar and passed it on their first attempt. Without racial preferences, 74 percent of black students would be likely to make it from the first day of law school to passing the bar on the first try because fewer unqualified students would be admitted to law school, there would be less attrition and academic performance — the principal predictor of success in passing the bar exam — would improve.

I don't know how valid and reliable Sander's study or findings are. But for some reason I get the impression that there is zero possibility that any evidence no matter how convincing or impeccable would dissuade the AA and MSA crowd.

Note how careful the article is to label the race of Sander and to inject certain PC slants.

The complete California Bar Journal's article is here. (http://www.calbar.ca.gov/state/calbar/calbar_cbj.jsp?sCategoryPath=/Home/Attorney%20Resources/California%20Bar%20Journal/December2004&sCatHtmlPath=cbj/2004-12_TH_01_Black-law-students.html&sCatHtmlTitle=Top%20Headlines)

archidante
12-21-2004, 03:00 AM
unspoken premise: more black lawyers is a good thing.

(what we really need is to see a study produced that lowers the total numbers of lawyers of every race since they're falling out of windows, billboards, phonebooks, and ambulances everywhere....)

Suchaknight
12-21-2004, 03:35 AM
People who disagree with the results of studies like this usually complain that the statistics are skewed, and often they are right. If you know what you're doing you can find many creative ways to use statistics. Unfortunately, the general public is not in a position to judge the validity of the study. Consequently, I usually don't pay too much attention to them.

But I think using AA to determine school admissions is wrong. Then again, if it actually does result in creating fewer lawyers to prey upon our society, maybe I could make an exception in this case.

joseftu
12-21-2004, 08:39 AM
Kevin Drum at Washington Monthly has a good response (http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2004_12/005355.php) to this study (and the rebuttals).

I agree with his conclusion:

Liu's rebuttal makes the point that there's more to poor black performance in law school than just academic mismatch: the university experience is different for blacks, anxiety is higher, and racial discrimination still exists — points that Sander acknowledges. Still, his basic results can't be dismissed easily, and I suspect Sander is right to suggest that the answer is not to eliminate affirmative action, but only to curb programs that are too zealous in granting preferences, especially at the top schools. Specifically, he estimates that cutting preferences by half would eliminate three-quarters of the attrition problems he identifies, a proposal that he calls the "4% solution." (http://volokh.com/archives/archive_2004_11_07.shtml#1100293519)
I've felt (and said here) that affirmative action is a well-intended, and still-necessary program, but when it turns into overly rigorous quota and preference systems, as it too often does, it creates more problems than it solves.

If that could be addressed, separate from the usual hysteria (on both sides), a lot of progress (for all of us) could be the result. I think Sander's study is very important in that process.

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